TN523 : Risk Assessment of Spontaneous Combustion Coal in Coal Mines by using Fault Tree Analysis Method
Thesis > Central Library of Shahrood University > Mining, Petroleum & Geophysics Engineering > MSc > 2015
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Abstarct: The coal spontaneous combustion is one of the most important problems in in coal mines.
The results of spontaneous combustion are serious and negative – damaging economic
effects, detrimental environmental consequences and unwanted costs in health problems and,
in some cases, human life. To prevent these outcomes, the processes that lead to coal self
heat must be understood and precautions must be taken to avoid fires caused by Spontaneous
Combustion. The purpose of the present study was the risk assessment of spontaneous
combustion baxsed on Fault Tree Analysis method in fuzzy environment in the coal mines.
In this research, according to a review of all the latest, known and credible studies about
coal spontaneous combustion from around the world, many important and effective
parameters were identified. Afterwards, the causes of spontaneous combustion coal were
determined using FTA method. In order to calculate the probability of basic events and
eventually reach the rate of occurrence of the top event (risk of spontaneous combustion coal)
and regarding this fact that the spontaneous combustion coal behavior is complex and the
possibility of achieving precisely the basic events in the fault tree of this event is difficult
and with uncertainty, so fuzzy logic and fuzzy numbers were used to assign probability
weight to basic events.
The Fuzzy process began with the selection of an expertise team of Coal Mines of Alborz
Sharghi and ended with deter-mination of the probability rate for the basic events. The
equation recommended by Onisawa was used to determine the probability rate. Then the
probability of top event was determined using the appropriate equations. The critical Minimal
Cut Sets (MCS) were determined using Fussell-Vesely equation.
The results show that the probability of the risk of spontaneous combustion coal in
underground mine of Coal Mines of Alborz Sharghi (Tazareh) is 24% and it is 13% in coal
stock piles on the ground, so that it is the high levels of risk to staff involved in this vital and
important industry. Therefore, with respect to detrmination of Minimal Cut Set, control
methods to reduce the negative impacts and prevention of damages and losses of life and
financial was proposed and presented.
Keywords:
#Spontaneous Combustion #Coal Mines #Risk Assessment #Fault Tree Analysis Method (FTA) #Fuzzy Logic #Basic Event #Top Event #Minimal Cut Sets (MCS).
Keeping place: Central Library of Shahrood University
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Keeping place: Central Library of Shahrood University
Visitor: