QA611 : Bayesian Categorical Data Analysis with Spatial and Spatio-temporal Structures
Thesis > Central Library of Shahrood University > Mathematical Sciences > PhD > 2021
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Abstarct: A categorical variable is a random variable that groups observations. For example, classifying people with different characteristics according to their blood type results in a categorical variable. Nowadays, the widespread of various sciences has made analyzing categorical data very essential. Hence, different scientific disciplines pursue more accurate methods for analyzing such data. In classical statistics, several methods have been proposed to analyze categorical data. These existing methods and relevant software packages are not efficient enough for analyzing data with complex spatial and spatio-temporal structures. Bayesian analysis and inference of categorical data require sampling methods such as the MCMC algorithms, while they are not also efficient for categorical data with complex structures. Our proposed approach, in this thesis, is to use an approximate Bayesian method, called integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA), which is not accompanied by the significant problems seen in the MCMC algorithms for implementing the Bayesian analysis of spatial models. To deal with the inherent identifiability problem of the multinomial models, we consider two different types of identifiability constraints and compare their performances. We use the Poisson-multinomial transformation to develop the model in the class of latent Gaussian models applicable for INLA. We also utilize the individualized logit model as another type of modeling depending on the response variable type. Finally, we assess and compare the proposed models through both simulated and real data examples.
Keywords:
#Bayesian inference; fractional split multinomial model; identifiability; individualized logit; INLA method; multinomial-Poisson transformation; spatial multinomial model; spatio-temporal dependency structure. Keeping place: Central Library of Shahrood University
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