QA530 : On Variable Selection Methods in Regression Models with Time Series Error
Thesis > Central Library of Shahrood University > Mathematical Sciences > MSc > 2019
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Abstarct: Forecasting financial time series is especially important. There are many statistical models to predict time series, e.g. AR, MA, ARMA models. They are not good for modeling variance and instabilities in risk management, securities management, asset specialization and more. Instead, Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (or ARCH) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (or GARCH) models have been used. If there are explanatory and response variables, it is better to use times series regression for modeling the data.
In this dissertation, integrating penalized techniques like adaptive LASSO method in order to select important variables in time series regression models with errors ARMA and ARMA-GARCH is considered and verified efficiency of the proposed algorithm via some numerical studies.
Keywords:
# Adaptive LASSO estimator #ARMA model #ARMA-GARCH model #Time series regression #Variable selection
Keeping place: Central Library of Shahrood University
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Keeping place: Central Library of Shahrood University
Visitor: